Using a strategic partnership as a poison pill

If you believe Steve Ballmer’s letter to Jerry Yang withdrawing Microsoft’s offer to buy Yahoo, the latter’s threat to outsource search to Google deterred Microsoft from going hostile:

We regard with particular concern your apparent planning to respond to a “hostile” bid by pursuing a new arrangement that would involve or lead to the outsourcing to Google of key paid Internet search terms offered by Yahoo! today. In our view, such an arrangement with the dominant search provider would make an acquisition of Yahoo! undesirable to us for a number of reasons:

* First, it would fundamentally undermine Yahoo!’s own strategy and long-term viability by encouraging advertisers to use Google as opposed to your Panama paid search system. This would also fragment your search advertising and display advertising strategies and the ecosystem surrounding them. This would undermine the reliance on your display advertising business to fuel future growth.

* Given this, it would impair Yahoo’s ability to retain the talented engineers working on advertising systems that are important to our interest in a combination of our companies.

* In addition, it would raise a host of regulatory and legal problems that no acquirer, including Microsoft, would want to inherit. Among other things, this would consolidate market share with the already-dominant paid search provider in a manner that would reduce competition and choice in the marketplace.

* This would also effectively enable Google to set the prices for key search terms on both their and your search platforms and, in the process, raise prices charged to advertisers on Yahoo. In addition to whatever resulting legal problems, this seems unwise from a business perspective unless in fact one simply wishes to use this as a vehicle to exit the paid search business in favor of Google.

* It could foreclose any chance of a combination with any other search provider that is not already relying on Google’s search services.

Accordingly, your apparent plan to pursue such an arrangement in the event of a proxy contest or exchange offer leads me to the firm decision not to pursue such a path. Instead, I hereby formally withdraw Microsoft’s proposal to acquire Yahoo!.

It’s an interesting example of using strategic partnership as a takeover defense. One wonders how the Delaware courts would have analyzed the case if Microsoft had sued to block Yahoo from taking such a step. Presumably Unocal would have been the standard of review rather than either Blasius or the business judgment rule. To be sure, Panter v. Marshall Field, held that, absent proof of bad faith or self-dealing, the business judgment rule protects defensive acquisitions by board of directors. Plus, Panter was cited with approval by the Delaware Supreme Court in Moran. Yet, I still think that today the court would apply Unocal.

Although the Delaware Supreme Court held in Time that a board need not abandon its long-term business plan just because a hostile bid has been made, it’s not at all clear to me that Yahoo’s effort to outsource search would qualify as such a plan for purposes of an Unocal analysis. Yahoo would have to show that it was a pre-existing part of a long-term strategic plan.

Moreover, note Ballmer’s observation that the deal with Google would “raise a host of regulatory and legal problems that no acquirer, including Microsoft, would want to inherit.” One can almost hear the wings of Unitrin’s prohibition of preclusive defenses beating in the air.

Thoughts?

Update: Over on my punditry blog, I speculate a bit about how Yahoo and Microsoft shareholders will react.

Posted on Saturday, May 03 2008 | Permalink

Yahoo!’s search efforts have been anemic for a long time.  Outsourcing to Google with some sort of profit-sharing agreement would make a lot of sense; and would easily survive a business judgment rule inquiry.  However I’m not sure it would survive anything more than that.

Posted by  on  05/04  at  03:56 AM

Yahoo outsourcing to Google is like GM outsourcing to Toyota: probably a good idea, but it begs the question of why you’re staying in the business.

Posted by  on  05/05  at  01:18 AM

With regards to Yahoo! staying in business:  they need to decide at some point what it is they do.  They may not ever do search well.  The idea of being a web portal is no longer viable.  They’ve missed the boat when it comes to social networks or massively multi-player games.  But there is still a chance that they could think of something to do.

Frankly, I have no idea what they should do, and there’s a good chance that they will die a poor death shortly.  But there is at least a chance that they’ll figure out their place in the market.  Right now they are putting a lot of effort behind making it easier for third-party developers to combine Yahoo!’s services into something good.  That may end up being their calling, but it’s too early to tell.

Posted by  on  05/05  at  11:55 AM

Really interesting.

In the rapidly involving market analytics/PPC space, partnerships and joint ventures among players that are competitors in other ventures is more and more common.  My guess, is that Yahoo and other potential Microsoft targets are smart enough to have these types of ventures discussed by their business and legal teams from time-to-time so that they are, plausibly, part of their long-term strategy.  A common tactic for companies in the cross-hairs, such as Time in the Paramount hostile era.

It doesn’t rise to the level of scorched earth policy, and if the Google deal did not have any change of control provisions (i.e. the deal is the same for Yahoo irrespective of Microsoft acquisition), my guess (a guess only) is it would fly.  Greg

Posted by  on  05/05  at  05:12 PM
Commenting is not available in this weblog entry.

Introduction


Recent Law & Business Entries


Hot Topics on Food & Wine

Hot Topics on Punditry


Punditry RSS Feed

Archives

My Books




Blogroll